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Predictions for the 2019 hurricane season

Hurricane season starts June 1, and forecasters are predicting a slightly below average probability of a major hurricane making landfall in the United States this year. Researchers at Colorado State University recently released their annual forecast for the 2019 hurricane season that runs from June 1 through November 30. According to their predictions for 2019, there will be 13 named tropical storms with five reaching hurricane force. The Colorado State forecasters predict two of those storms will reach major status with sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour. A major hurricane constitutes a Category 3 or higher on the widely accepted Saffir-Simpson Scale. This year’s prediction compares to the 50-year median of 12 storms per year with 2.3 reaching category 3 or higher. The experts at Colorado State University say there is a 48 percent chance that at least one major hurricane will make landfall in the U.S. this year. That is lower than the 52 percent average for the last half century. So, what about predictions for our area? These same experts predict the Gulf Coast - from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville in Texas – has a 28 percent chance of being struck by a major hurricane. The 50-year average is 30 percent. Researchers at Colorado State University based their predictions on the current weak El Nino event that likely will persist or perhaps strengthen. Once more, hurricane season begins June 1, and forecasters say this year’s hurricane season will compare to a slightly below average year. Experts remind coastal residents it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. With that in mind, forecasters at Colorado State University remind coastal residents to prepare. For helpful tips, supply lists and emergency preparation information, go to our homepage at and click on disaster preparation under the local information tab. Also, mark your calendars – the 2019 Liberty County Public Hurricane Preparedness Workshop is set for Tuesday, May 7, at 6 p.m. in the Jack Hartel Community Center, 318 San Jacinto Street in Liberty. Speakers from the National Weather Service, the Red Cross and other agencies have been invited to address issues of importance regarding the 2019 hurricane season. Everyone is welcome. We will have more on that preparedness workshop in coming newscasts.


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